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Indonesia’s financial markets experienced a downturn, with the stock index and rupiah declining while Wall Street showed strength as the Trump ultimatum neared its end. Today’s market movement is influenced by both internal and external factors, including the war’s progression and domestic economic data. Jakarta, CNBC Indonesia – On the previous trading day, Indonesia’s domestic financial market collectively fell into the red. The market is expected to rebound today, with detailed projections available on page 3 of this article.

Kinerja Pasar Saham dan Valas

The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) closed at 6,971.03, dropping 0.26% or 18.40 points. Total trading volume reached Rp13.49 trillion, accounting for approximately 57% of the average daily transaction value last week. Meanwhile, the volume of shares traded across all markets hit 27.16 billion units. Most sectors weakened, with only three sectors showing gains: infrastructure (0.76%), finance (0.64%), and energy (0.20%).

In the foreign exchange market, the rupiah continued to weaken against the US dollar (USD) on Tuesday (7/4/2026). According to Refinitiv data, the rupiah closed at Rp17,090/USD, depreciating 0.35%. This marks a new record for the weakest closing level in the currency’s history. The rupiah opened slightly lower at 0.06% to Rp17,040/USD, then faced pressure before briefly reaching Rp17,105/USD. It later stabilized at the close.

Perkembangan Eksternal dan Domestik

External pressures primarily stemmed from the US dollar’s resilience amid market watchers’ cautious monitoring of the Iran conflict escalation. Internally, sentiment shifted due to the government’s announcement of raising the fiscal deficit target for this year’s Budget of the Republic of Indonesia (APBN). Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa stated the target would increase from 2.68% to 2.9%.

Perkembangan Perang dan Respons Trump

Wall Street’s performance on Tuesday or Wednesday morning (Indonesian time) was driven by the weakening dollar and government bonds, alongside anticipation of the US-Iran standoff resolution. The S&P 500 rose 0.08% to 6,616.85, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.10% to 22,017.85. Conversely, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 85.42 points or 0.18% to 46,584.46.

“Satu peradaban utuh akan mati malam ini, dan tidak akan pernah kembali. Saya tidak ingin itu terjadi, tetapi kemungkinan besar akan terjadi.”

Trump’s statement on Tuesday morning, posted on Truth Social, heightened investor vigilance throughout the trading session, initially pressuring stocks and pushing oil prices upward. However, by the end of the session, oil prices stabilized. Crude oil futures for West Texas Intermediate rose 54 cents to US$112.95 per barrel, while Brent international crude oil futures remained steady.

The White House spokesperson, Karoline Leavitt, confirmed that Trump had received the proposal, with a response expected soon. Traders had previously tracked the 20:00 ET (07:00 WIB) deadline set by Trump for Tehran to reach a deal on reopening the Strait of Hormuz or face an attack on its infrastructure. Pakistan’s Prime Minister, Shehbaz Sharif, also urged Iran to open the Strait for two weeks as a “sign of goodwill.”